Would A Russo-Japanese War Be Another World War?
The Empire Club of Canada Addresses (Toronto, Canada), 22 Mar 1934, p. 499-512
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Would A Russo-Japanese War Be Another World War?

A comparison of the present situation in the Far East with the situation in Europe in 1914. A situation now in the Far East which is much less clear. Canada's, like America's interest in the question of collective guarantees of world peace and the extending of international compacts for the preservation of peace. To what extent we can count on the League of Nations or any other grouping of nations in the future. International negotiation as a substitute for war. An examination of how far the structure of international treaty arrangements conform with the nations in the Far East. Japan and Russia as competitors for land power. The way in which the land power of Japan affects China. The conception of China by the Western World. A description of China including population distribution. Some major differences in culture. China's geo-political structure. Some history of China. The shock of the Japanese invasion of China and its effects. Japan's intentions beyond Manchuria. How international relations are to deal with this situation. An almost impossible dilemma. Some speculation on the way in which this new frontier situation works. The possibilities of a Japanese-Russian war. The situation for Outer Mongolia, similar to the situation of Manchukuo. The speaker's belief that there is a true danger of a tribal war among the Mongols precipitating a general climax in which all the nations of the civilized world might find themselves involved, and reasons for that belief. The unlikely possibility that Russia would start a war in the Far East, and why that is so. Indications that the Japanese also would rather not fight Russia at the present time. What might draw Japan and Russia into a war, and what might happen subsequently. Our relations with the Asiatic Continent. The importance to Russia for a port and access to the Pacific Ocean under its own control. A concluding warning from the speaker about the dangers of this situation.